Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 39 · v1

Severe Weather near Mandan

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

This alert expired on 29 June 2026 at 01:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 28 at 7:59PM CDT until June 28 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Bismarck ND

Urban PEI: 96,474 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.80/1
Coordinates46.8307, -101.0430
Nearest CityMandan (12 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)96.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-29T00:59:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a692e3ee7ee491b1788f9fd19f7aae2d

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-29T00:59:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-29T01:03:51.264Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescOliver, ND; Morton, ND
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued June 28 at 7:59PM CDT until June 28 at 8:30PM CDT by NWS Bismarck ND
Expires2026-06-28T20:30:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Bismarck ND
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a692e3ee7ee491b1788f9fd19f7aae2d01e3d3d1.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.947ba707c89ab52fce13eaf165e1b7b5c546763c.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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